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‘Your pay is still - not - going up too fast’
The Economist posted a controversial article arguing that wages are driving inflation. Let’s revisit why this is not the case.
Mar 4, 2024
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‘Your pay is still - not - going up too fast’
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Inflation – a Short Primer
How staggered pricing causes inflation, even without money.
Feb 18
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Inflation – a Short Primer
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Do Tariffs Cause Inflation? Yes.
No, it is not a one off jump – tariffs on intermediate goods result in permanently higher inflation (all else constant).
Mar 24
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Do Tariffs Cause Inflation? Yes.
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News: The US Credit Downgrade
On May 16, 2025, Moody’s downgraded the rating of US debt from AAA (Aaa) to AA+ (Aa1). What does this mean and what does economics have to tell us about…
May 25
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News: The US Credit Downgrade
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Modelling the Impact of Tariffs
Economic modelling suggests that the US tariffs can have quite significant adverse outcomes on both US output and wages.
Apr 30
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Modelling the Impact of Tariffs
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Yes – Tariffs Have Increased Prices and Inflation in the US
The price increases from tariffs can be seen in both economy-wide data and retail data.
Jun 16
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Yes – Tariffs Have Increased Prices and Inflation in the US
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Why Policy Changes Are Often Misjudged – the Lucas Critique
When policies fail to deliver, it is often that the Lucas Critique that wasn't considered.
Feb 2
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Why Policy Changes Are Often Misjudged – the Lucas Critique
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Why Import Tariffs are Identical to Export Taxes
Proponents of import tariffs would quickly criticize the imposition of export taxes. But both these policies are basically identical.
Apr 13
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Why Import Tariffs are Identical to Export Taxes
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Book Recommendation – Economic Fables
Ariel Rubinstein's "Economic Fables" is a great, albeit not your typical, introduction to economics and economic thinking.
Mar 31
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Book Recommendation – Economic Fables
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Clearing Up the Free-Bus Debate
The provision of a government service, such as buses, and how to fund it, are fundamentally two different questions.
Jul 6
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Clearing Up the Free-Bus Debate
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Time to Embrace Hybrid Work Arrangements
Research keeps showing hybrid work is a superior form of work organization.
Mar 1
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Time to Embrace Hybrid Work Arrangements
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Immigration – Fiscal and Macro Impacts
Surveys suggest people think immigrants are a net negative on the budget. Research shows otherwise.
Feb 10
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Immigration – Fiscal and Macro Impacts
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